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Essex (County of) <br />Major Rating Factors <br />Strengths: <br />• Strong liquidity <br />• Low and declining stand -alone debt <br />• Stable budgetary performance <br />Weaknesses: <br />Lack of control over debt issuance at the lower -tier municipal level <br />Low - but - improving economic diversification <br />Rationale <br />AA-/Stable/-- <br />The ratings on the County of Essex, in the Province of Ontario (AA- /Stable /A -1 +), reflect Standard & Poor's Ratings <br />Services' view of the following factors: <br />• In our opinion, Essex's healthy financial position is largely a result of its strong liquidity. Its reserves and liquidity <br />levels easily surpass its net debt obligations. Reserve and reserve fund balances increased moderately in 2008 to <br />$70.2 million, from a five -year average of C$52.2 million. Similarly, cash and investment balances have been <br />more than C$40 million since 2003 (cash balances and liquid assets represented about 63.5% of operating <br />expenses in 2008). As a result, the county has been a strong net creditor in each of the past 10 years. <br />• Further bolstering its financial risk profile, Essex's stand -alone debt and debt - service burdens are low compared <br />with those of similarly rated peers. By the end of the fiscal 2008 (Dec. 31), direct debt represented 32.8% of <br />operating revenues, while interest expense accounted for only 1.9% of operating revenues. Absent any projected <br />debt issuance, we expect the county's own debt levels to decline to less than 25% of operating revenue by 2012, <br />lower than the median of similarly rated Canadian peers. <br />• Essex's budgetary performance is stable, in our view. In fiscal 2008, the county generated about a 13% surplus of <br />operating revenue, a moderate decline compared with stable performances of 15% of operating revenue since <br />2002. Conversely, Essex's balance after capital expenditures improved notably to about 6.0% of total revenue, <br />compared with 1.6% in fiscal 2007. The increase was the result of a marked increase in grants that somewhat <br />mitigated elevated capital spending. We believe that the ability to generate sizable operating surpluses is a key <br />credit strength, because it provides the county with the financial flexibility to maximize pay -as- you -go financing <br />and limit debt issuance. <br />We believe the following somewhat offset these credit strengths: <br />• Despite having a strong stand -alone financial risk profile, the financial risk profile of lower -tier member <br />municipalities influences Essex's credit quality. Lower -tier debt issuance indirectly influences the county's overall <br />debt - carrying capacity. <br />Essex's economy is relatively less diversified than that of most domestic peers. The county's economy is heavily <br />concentrated in manufacturing, particularly in the cyclical automotive sector, with remaining employment largely <br />rural. As a result of the recent downturn, especially in Ontario's manufacturing sector, indicators point to <br />Standard & Poor's I RatingsDirect on the Global Credit Portal I June 11, 2010 <br />2 <br />8038461300071004 <br />