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C ount y o f r ' <br />Stable'Financial Performance; Outlook <br />Rationale <br />Primary Credit Analyst. - <br />Prim <br />i Patel, CFA <br />Standard & Poor's Ratings Services has affirmed its `AA -' long -term issuer and senior <br />Toronto <br />unsecured debt ratings on the County of Essex, in the Province of Ontario (AA/Stable /A -1 +) . <br />(1) 416- 507 -2558 <br />bhavini_patelg <br />The outlook is stable. <br />standardandpoors.com <br />The ratings on Essex reflect low and declining debt on a stand -alone basis, healthy liquidity, <br />Secondary Credit Analyst: <br />and stable budgetary performance. In Standard & Poor's opinion, offsetting these strengths <br />Stephen Ogilvie <br />Toronto <br />are a credit profile that is affected by the debt issuance of the lower -tier member municipalities <br />(1) 416- 507 -2524 <br />and a relatively less diverse economy compared with those of domestic peers. <br />stephen_og i Ivie@ <br />standardandpoors.com <br />County debt levels on a stand -alone basis are relatively low compared with those of <br />similarly rated peers, both domestically and internationally. At fiscal year -end Dec. 31, 2007 <br />direct debt represented 34% of operating revenue. With no further forecast debt issuance in <br />the next three years, we expect Essex's debt levels to gradually decline to less than 25% of <br />operating revenue by 2011, lower than the median of similarly rated Canadian peers. <br />Further strengthening Essex's credit profile is its healthy liquidity. The county's strong <br />li in our opinion, has resulted in it maintaining its net creditor status for many years. <br />Cash and liquid investments represented about 66.4% of operating expenses at Dec. 31, 2007. <br />We expect liquidity to improve moderately and that Essex will maintain above - average levels. <br />Essex's budgetary performance has a lengthy record of strong financial performance. In <br />fiscal 2007, the county generated about a 15% surplus of operating revenue, consistent with <br />all but one of the last six years. Conversely, the county's balance after capital expenditures as a <br />percentage of total revenues declined notably to about 1.6 %, compared with 9.1 % in fiscal <br />2006. The decline was the result of a marked increase in capital expenditures related to <br />Publication Date <br />roadways and recycling. Nevertheless, the ability to generate sizable operating surpluses is a <br />Dec. 1, 2008 <br />key credit strength, in our opinion, because it provides the county with the financial flexibility <br />to maximize pay -as- you -go financing and limit debt issuance. <br />